Space Industry Cheat Sheet: Vulcan Anomalies, Billion-Dollar Bets, and a Space Force That Needs to Double

Golden Wallet
Anoth­er week, anoth­er reminder that the space indus­try moves at a pace that would make most gov­ern­ment acqui­si­tion pro­grams blush. From mas­sive fund­ing rounds to a Space Force that can’t grow fast enough and a Vul­can rock­et that need­ed a lit­tle post-flight inves­ti­ga­tion, there’s plen­ty to unpack. Let’s get into it.

Vulcan Gets to Orbit—With an Asterisk

Unit­ed Launch Alliance’s Vul­can Cen­taur rock­et launched its fourth flight over­all and sec­ond Nation­al Secu­ri­ty Space Launch mis­sion on Feb­ru­ary 12, car­ry­ing the USSF-87 pay­load to geo­syn­chro­nous orbit. The mis­sion deliv­ered the sev­enth and eighth satel­lites in the Geo­syn­chro­nous Space Sit­u­a­tion­al Aware­ness Pro­gram (GSSAP) constellation—Northrop Grum­man-built space­craft that mon­i­tor activ­i­ty near U.S. and allied assets in GEO. The launch also includ­ed a propul­sive ESPA ring host­ing addi­tion­al Space Force payloads.

Mis­sion suc­cess? Yes. But not with­out some home­work for the engi­neer­ing team. ULA con­firmed an “obser­va­tion” on one of the four sol­id rock­et boost­ers dur­ing the ear­ly flight phase. Gary Wentz, ULA’s VP of Atlas and Vul­can pro­grams, acknowl­edged the issue, and the com­pa­ny is cur­rent­ly review­ing data. Both the boost­er and the Cen­taur upper stage oper­at­ed nom­i­nal­ly, com­plet­ing all planned burns and deliv­er­ing pay­loads to their intend­ed orbits. Still, when you’re try­ing to estab­lish Vul­can as the reli­able work­horse for nation­al secu­ri­ty mis­sions, even minor anom­alies get the micro­scope treat­ment. Space­News

The Space Force Wants to Double in Size

Chief Mas­ter Sergeant of the Space Force John Ben­tiveg­na told law­mak­ers on Feb­ru­ary 11 that the service’s cur­rent force of 10,000 uni­formed Guardians isn’t enough. The Space Force has already blown past its recruit­ing goals for fis­cal 2026, but meet­ing evolv­ing mis­sion require­ments and con­fronting threats from Chi­na and Rus­sia will require dou­bling that number.

Here’s what’s dri­ving this: Cape Canaver­al could sup­port 500 launch­es annu­al­ly by 2036—a five­fold increase over the next decade. The East­ern Range is about to become the busiest space­port in human his­to­ry, and the Space Force needs the per­son­nel to man­age that growth while simul­ta­ne­ous­ly build­ing out the oper­a­tional capa­bil­i­ties required for con­test­ed space oper­a­tions. The recruit­ing suc­cess is good news, but grow­ing a ser­vice takes more than fill­ing billets—it requires devel­op­ing the expe­ri­ence base to lead it. That takes time. Air & Space Forces Magazine

Capital Keeps Flowing: Stoke and CesiumAstro Lead the Week

The fund­ing announce­ments this week rein­forced a sim­ple truth: investors remain bull­ish on com­pa­nies build­ing hard­ware that matters.

Stoke Space extend­ed its Series D round by $350 mil­lion, bring­ing the total raise to $860 mil­lion and life­time fund­ing to $1.34 bil­lion. The Kent, Wash­ing­ton-based com­pa­ny is push­ing toward the first launch of its Nova rock­et from Launch Com­plex 14 at Cape Canaveral—the same his­toric pad where John Glenn launched in 1962. Nova is designed for full and rapid reusabil­i­ty across both stages, tar­get­ing the medi­um-lift mar­ket with air­craft-like oper­a­tional fre­quen­cy. CEO Andy Lap­sa not­ed there’s “more in the pipeline” beyond Nova. The com­pa­ny isn’t chas­ing SpaceX in heavy lift; it’s bet­ting that medi­um-lift reusabil­i­ty will carve out its own mar­ket. Space­News

Cesiu­mAs­tro announced $470 mil­lion in growth capital—$270 mil­lion in Series C equi­ty led by Trous­dale Ven­tures, plus $200 mil­lion in debt financ­ing from EXIM and JP Mor­gan under the “Make More in Amer­i­ca” ini­tia­tive. CEO Shey Sabripour called it a “scale moment” as the com­pa­ny moves from break­through tech­nol­o­gy to indus­tri­al back­bone. Cesiu­mAs­tro builds soft­ware-defined phased-array com­mu­ni­ca­tions sys­tems and is posi­tion­ing for pro­lif­er­at­ed LEO con­stel­la­tions, includ­ing the Space Devel­op­ment Agency’s archi­tec­ture. The com­pa­ny explic­it­ly named Gold­en Dome as a tar­get mar­ket. The new fund­ing will sup­port a 270,000 square-foot head­quar­ters and man­u­fac­tur­ing facil­i­ty in Texas. Space­News

Mean­while, across the Pacif­ic, China’s iSpace raised a record $729 mil­lion in D++ fund­ing to accel­er­ate reusable rock­et devel­op­ment. The com­pa­ny is work­ing on its Hyperbola‑3 liq­uid-pro­pel­lant rock­et, with cryo­genic sta­t­ic test­ing and launch-site fit checks recent­ly com­plet­ed at the Hainan com­mer­cial space launch cen­ter. The scale of invest­ment in Chi­nese com­mer­cial launch con­tin­ues to grow, backed by a com­bi­na­tion of gov­ern­ment indus­tri­al funds and pri­vate equi­ty. Space­News

Golden Dome: From Vision to Budget Lines

For those track­ing the Gold­en Dome of Amer­i­ca ini­tia­tive, the fis­cal 2026 defense appro­pri­a­tions bill—passed Feb­ru­ary 3—included $13.4 bil­lion for space and mis­sile defense sys­tems sup­port­ing the pro­gram. Com­bined with the $24.4 bil­lion allo­cat­ed through the 2025 rec­on­cil­i­a­tion bill, real mon­ey is now flow­ing into what remains an ambi­tious and tech­ni­cal­ly demand­ing undertaking.

The Pen­ta­gon is posi­tion­ing Gold­en Dome as a prov­ing ground for acqui­si­tion reform. Deputy pro­gram man­ag­er Mar­cia Holmes pitched the ini­tia­tive to investors at a recent Space Foun­da­tion event, empha­siz­ing faster acqui­si­tion time­lines and greater risk tol­er­ance. “We are going to be eas­i­er to work with,” Holmes said—words that would be more reas­sur­ing if we hadn’t heard sim­i­lar promis­es before.

The Mis­sile Defense Agency’s SHIELD IDIQ—the poten­tial $151 bil­lion, 10-year vehicle—continues to gen­er­ate activ­i­ty. This week, Secu­ri­ty 2.0, Inc. announced it was award­ed an IDIQ con­tract in sup­port of Gold­en Dome, join­ing over 2,000 com­pa­nies pre-approved to com­pete for task orders.

The sys­temic chal­lenge remains clear: con­vert­ing appro­pri­at­ed dol­lars into exe­cutable pro­grams with defined archi­tec­tures. Gen. Michael Guetlein has set an ini­tial oper­a­tional capa­bil­i­ty tar­get for sum­mer 2028, with 2026 focused on pro­to­types, indus­try engage­ment, and com­mand-and-con­trol foun­da­tions. Con­gres­sion­al over­sight pro­vi­sions requir­ing reg­u­lar report­ing on archi­tec­ture, cost, and test­ing sug­gest law­mak­ers want vis­i­bil­i­ty as spend­ing ramps up. Space­News

On-Orbit Servicing Gets Its Year

Four satel­lite ser­vic­ing demon­stra­tion mis­sions are sched­uled for 2026, all tar­get­ing geo­syn­chro­nous orbit and all empha­siz­ing com­mer­cial busi­ness mod­els along­side gov­ern­ment require­ments. The Space Force con­sid­ers dynam­ic space operations—the abil­i­ty to maneu­ver satel­lites as needed—critical to warfight­ing in a con­test­ed domain. With­out on-orbit refu­el­ing and ser­vic­ing, every maneu­ver short­ens a satellite’s life. These demon­stra­tions aim to prove both the tech­nol­o­gy and the economics.

As Rob Hauge of SpaceL­o­gis­tics (Northrop Grum­man) put it: “Every year about 10 to 20 [GEO satel­lites] reach their end of life because they run out of fuel.” That’s a mar­ket oppor­tu­ni­ty mea­sured in bil­lions, and the nation­al secu­ri­ty impli­ca­tions are sig­nif­i­cant. Air & Space Forces Magazine

Quick Hits

  • The House Sci­ence, Space, and Tech­nol­o­gy Com­mit­tee is mark­ing up the NASA Reau­tho­riza­tion Act of 2026 (HR 7273), intro­duced Jan­u­ary 30 by Rep. Bri­an Babin (R‑TX). Pri­or­i­ties include Artemis, SLS, crew access to LEO, and orbital debris R&D. Whether it actu­al­ly becomes law remains the question—Congress hasn’t passed a stand­alone NASA autho­riza­tion since 2022.
  • The Defense Inno­va­tion Unit plans to demon­strate low-cost, com­mer­cial­ly derived mis­sile-defense sen­sors in orbit with­in two years, sig­nal­ing con­tin­ued momen­tum toward a more pro­lif­er­at­ed, resilient space architecture.
  • Muon Space announced a shift toward a con­stel­la­tion-focused busi­ness, with 20 satel­lites man­i­fest­ed over the next 20 months. The com­pa­ny is bet­ting that ver­ti­cal inte­gra­tion and end-to-end solu­tions will dif­fer­en­ti­ate it in a crowd­ed market.

The Bottom Line

This week’s head­lines reveal an indus­try enter­ing a new phase. Cap­i­tal is flow­ing to com­pa­nies that can build hard­ware at scale. The Space Force is grow­ing to match the oper­a­tional demands of a con­test­ed domain. And Gold­en Dome is mov­ing from Pow­er­Point to pro­gram execution—with all the acqui­si­tion chal­lenges that entail.

The ques­tion isn’t whether space is strate­gic. That debate is set­tled. The ques­tion is whether we can move fast enough to stay ahead of adver­saries who are invest­ing heav­i­ly and learn­ing quick­ly. The fund­ing rounds and force struc­ture announce­ments are encour­ag­ing. The real test comes when hard­ware meets orbit—and when acqui­si­tion time­lines meet oper­a­tional need.

Pax ab Space

Clin­ton Austin is a Senior Busi­ness Devel­op­ment Direc­tor for GDIT who cov­ers the U.S. Air Force, the U.S. Space Force, and the Mis­sile Defense Agency.

The views expressed are those of the author and do not reflect the offi­cial pol­i­cy or posi­tion of Gen­er­al Dynam­ics Infor­ma­tion Technology.

February 15, 2026

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